We are not alone…

The only thing worse than not getting snow is being (seemingly) the only ones not getting snow. We are entering a classic phase 4 of the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) if you don’t remember what the MJO is, click “Technical Talk” at the top and scroll down to that post.

Here is the MJO forecast from the GFS and Euro, both show us headed into Phase 4 tomorrow.

GFS

Screenshot 2018-12-13 at 12.20.44 PM.png

Euro

Screenshot 2018-12-13 at 12.21.03 PM.png

Here is temperature profile for Phase 4 (bottom left)

Screenshot 2018-12-13 at 12.23.37 PM.png

You can see how this dominates the lower 48. The first relative warmth we have seen since September.

As I said we are not alone. Check out the current 10-day snow forecasts. Keep in mind these will be highly influenced by the MJO forecast, so will be very subject to change. All it really tells us is the models agree with themselves.

Euro

121318euro

Canadian

121318cmc

GFS

121318GFS

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