They are going full in on this, I hope they are right! Point forecasts are much much higher which tells me they also expect some surprises but don’t know where it is going to happen. They also talked about the bust factor with the storm moving south. Find your point forecasts here, they are pretty enthusiastic:
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Junction CO 314 PM MST Thu Dec 27 2018 COZ021>023-280615- /O.UPG.KGJT.WS.A.0008.181228T0700Z-181229T0700Z/ /O.NEW.KGJT.WS.W.0012.181228T0600Z-181229T0700Z/ Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin- San Juan River Basin- Including the cities of Cortez, Dove Creek, Mancos, Durango, Bayfield, Ignacio, and Pagosa Springs 314 PM MST Thu Dec 27 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT MST FRIDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Snow...heavy at times...expected. Total snow accumulations ranging from 4 to 8 inches with some localized amounts up to 10 inches possible. * WHERE...Four Corners/Upper Dolores River, Animas River Basin and San Juan River Basin including the Highway 160 corridor. * WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to midnight MST Friday night with the heaviest snow expected near sunrise to noon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be very difficult at times and will likely impact the morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.