The afternoon short term model is out and it shows that many locations are about halfway to their storm total. Yes, really. Once again it focuses on the east, however its parent model, the NAM shows most falling to the west so who knows. These are the projected amounts from 11 am today for additional amounts to fall by the end of the storm on Tuesday.
My caveat is that the afternoon run of this model never seems as reliable as the morning run, but we will see, I was very surprised to see it come in this heavy. Multiply by 18 to see your projected totals. If we see another heavy wave come in around 3 or 4 pm as its future radar predicts, I will have more confidence in the model.
It has moderated a bit here at the DWG headquarters we have had 11 inches since 8 am bringing the storm total to 14 1/2 inches.
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Would you put Durango Ridge Ranch in the dark green area?
Thx!
Patricia
Sent from my iPhone
Patricia, you are in .6-.7 blue area so if that model was right another foot
I was wondering on the radar maps where Durango/Bayfield are located?
I missed that other post, great minds ask the same questions!
At Edgemont Ranch we had about 3″ overnight and probably another 8-9″ so far and just experienced a really heavy band between 3:30-4:15 pm…. still coming down consistently. Thank you for updates!