This morning an intense band of snow developed just west of town between 9 and 10am with snowfall rates exceeding 3 inches per hour. It was the heaviest snow I have experienced in the last 20 years. Here at HQ in Dwest 2 we had 3 1/2 inches overnight but since 8 am we have had another 9 1/2 inches, (12:20 we are now under another 3+ per hour heavy band)
The data from the Euro and GFS was suspect because they were predicting storm totals in some case less than has already fallen.
I am anxious to get some feedback on where other heavier bands are setting up in the area. The short term hourly model shows several waves continuing to develop with a focus east of Durango, however, that is what the morning WRF model said as well and so far most of the activity has focused on the west. I am so excited about getting radar this year, the models will then have more data to help out with the short term forecasts.
The models are still showing a monster storm for Thursday and Friday, they all are on it. Not to take away from what we are currently experiencing, but this next one would be large enough to set 5-day record totals for the area (between this storm and the next).
Wednesday will be a good day to get things done, if, and it is still an if at that this point, so IF the Thursday Friday storm comes together the Euro is now showing an additional 1-2 1/2 ” of liquid, I still expect ratios between 14-20 to 1.
I am going to go move snow.