I was pleased to see that Purg was already at a foot, they should be able to add a little to that before this wraps up. As I mentioned the other day this storm is the most difficult of the season for me because of the snow levels and the positioning on the cold front. We saw the effects of the jet interacting with the cold front yesterday which temporarily lowered snow levels, only to see them rise again after the jet buckled the cold front ever so slightly back north. Here is something that not many people know. Cold fronts and warm fronts are the same things. When a cold front goes from north to south over an area, then it goes south to north over the same area it becomes a warm front while it is moving north.
I took a quick glance at liquid totals around the area and they vary from .30-.95″, downtown Durango was.50. We are not done yet, things should pick back up late morning to early afternoon. It will be spotty and sloppy at the lower elevations, south of 160 will see pockets of heavier showers.
Below is the total liquid equivalent left to fall according to the HiResolution WRF model. This model a margin of error of roughly 1.8 miles.
Here is what it shows for snow to fall (not necessarily accumulate)
It is really highlighting Silverton and areas north, especially Red Mountain, Wolf Creek, the La Platas and the mountains north of Vallecito. It also shows a little snow west of Durango and near Lemon and Vallecito.
I appreciate all of the comments from everyone although I can’t always respond to them, it is very helpful to have “human radar” out there telling me what is happening.
I am already tracking the next system(s) for mid and late week. There is some question as to whether or not the next system is coming in two parts or if it is two separate storms, Timing is one on Wednesday-Thursday, a small break, then Friday-Saturday. The first looks like another wet event, the second looks like it starts wet and then finishes cold with snow, potentially heavy at the end. That does not look like the end by any means but I don’t want to get too far ahead of myself.
I will update again around noon.