More Good News, More Bad News

So far this storm has been a bad news good news scenario. That continues after the latest model runs. The recon data is suggesting that the storm’s intensity is leveling off, not weakening yet, just not intensifying.

Dorian’s 912mb pressure with 185 mph winds is impressive but it is far from the strongest Atlantic Hurricane which was Wilma in 2005 which hit 882mb. So for now, it occupies the 13 strongest spot for the Atlantic. You could say that it is the strongest ever to hit Abaco, but thats not typically how you would judge a hurricane unless you’re on the Weather Channel.

Good news: Most models, including the ICON take it north before reaching landfall.     Bad news: The NHC/NOAA hurricane model, the HWRF, now shows this storm making landfall near New Smyrna Beach (south of Daytona).

HWRF9112z

It shows it making landfall as a Cat 3 very early morning Wednesday. It is just 1 run, but it definitely needs to be watched.

The Euro is still very consistent in keeping the worst of the storm off of Florida’s east coast.

 

Click here to donate

 

Click here to contact me

 

 

 

 

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s