Dorian has been for the most part everything the Euro promised. If that continues to be the case later today the storm will start moving north-northwest just off the coast of Florida bringing tropical storm conditions to the east coast of Florida, it will likely be closer to the South Carolina and North Carolina coasts than Florida, finally making landfall from Morehead City North Carolina to the Outer Banks and Hatteras.
Back in our neck of the woods, we should be getting closer to the end of the boring weather pattern we have been in for the last couple of weeks. I am ready for it. September looks like it will be just slightly above normal temperatures which will seem like an improvement after the last couple of weeks. Expect a few more pop up storms the next couple of days. I am trying to get a better handle on an upcoming pattern change and will be posting on this in the next couple of days.
Whether it feels like it or not it is fall. Here is the new Euro weekly model run for snow totals over the next 46 days, most high elevation snow will fall around here the last half of the forecast period. As you can see it will be more frequent and substantial in NW Wyoming.
I still don’t have a good handle on Winter yet. Last year was an anomaly, I am not expecting a repeat. That being said with what little guidance I have seen, at ths time I am not expecting a dry Winter by any means.