This is yet another impressive early-season winter storm, although it probably won’t seem like it around here. Check out the totals which will likely be record-setting especially in North Dakota.
Zooming in on Colorado
I am going to be too busy to chase this storm, but I will be chasing it on the computer. The latest model runs are a bit faster with the storm, snow should break out after midnight Wednesday and by Thursday morning in the higher elevations of northern San Juan, and San Miguel County then progresses a little further south near sunrise. I would expect a light dusting as far south as Coal Bank Pass and it is likely Wolf Creek will see a few flakes as well. Although the accumulations are expected to be low there will be strong enough winds to cause blowing snow which could create temporarily adverse driving conditions.
What has not changed in the models is the cold air that is coming. If you have any equipment or vegetation sensitive to cold air be aware that by Friday morning most areas will be between 10-20 degrees around here, Silverton could be lower. Below are the predicted temps for Friday morning.
After this, back to boring weather until the next storm system comes onshore, this time a little further south, around next Thursday or Friday (10/17–10/18).
Unless I see a dramatic change in the weather models later today, I won’t post again until tomorrow morning.