Happy Thanksgiving to everyone! If you are wondering where the storm is, the cold front is still in western Utah and the closed low believe it or not is still off of the coast of California.
That is going to keep moving slowly throughout the day and tonight at the moment, the models are showing the heaviest precipitation moving in tomorrow morning around 8 am. This could certainly change. Earlier today I mentioned a couple of scenarios where the storm could speed up or slow down and that is what I am going to be watching for throughout the day.
For the rest of the day, snow we will have scattered snow showers and mist or light rain in the lower elevations. While I don’t anticipate very much accumulation, there is abundant moisture overhead and sometimes there are embedded disturbances that get caught up in the flow that create the mechanism to generate heavier snow showers. Right now we don’t have that mechanism. It’s like having a full gas can but nothing to light it with.
Tomorrow should be a different story. As far as total accumulations (including what has fallen) I have to be conservative until we see what happens with the system today and tonight. Right now I would say 15-20″ for Purgatory. Pagosa 8-12″, mid-elevations in the area 5-10″, low elevations in-town: Durango, Bayfield, Ignacio could get 2-4″ overnight and throughout the day tomorrow. Telluride, Dolores, Cortez, and Mancos, basically everyone that got decent snow the other day will see heavier snow probably Friday afternoon and Friday night. Telluride I would expect 10-15″ Dolores 4-8″, Cortez and Mancos 3-6″ At Wolf Creek I expect the snow to continue for most of the day Saturday I expect 24-36″.
I can’t emphasize enough that a lot can change in a short period of time, I don’t anticipate posting again later today, but if I see something that is going to jeopardize those totals I won’t hesitate to let you know about it.
I hope you all have a safe and happy Thanksgiving day. I am thankful for all of you followers-we hit 10,060 followers on Facebook with nearly 8,900-page “likes”. If I add in the followers from other sources the total is close to 13,000. I am also very thankful for all of the donors and repeat donors for helping me keep the site free instead of looking like this:
I will be up early tomorrow so check-in before you head out the door. If you must drive tomorrow morning give yourself plenty of time to get where you are going!