Storm Will Impact Travel Over Passes Monday

Light snow will once again break out late today with heavier snow rates expected early Monday morning winding down by afternoon.  Snow Liquid Ratios (SLRs) will vary by elevation ranging from 20 to 1 above 9,000′ to 15-1 in downtown Durango. As has been the story, those ratios can pile up snow pretty quickly.

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A couple of Bullseyes again, the most obvious is Wolf Creek where 8-16″ could accumulate by late Monday.  All of the passes on 550 could get  6-12″+.  North La Plata Canyon (Mayday) area will do well with 6-12″.  4-8″ for Purgatory, 3-6″ for mid-elevation areas and Telluride. 2-5″ for Mancos and Dolores, 1-3″ for Durango, Bayfield a trace to 2 inches for other low elevation areas.

The rest of the week will be quiet until a large storm hits the west coast on Thursday. Models have not come into complete agreement yet, but the GFS, the German Icon model and the Canadian model are showing a very big storm and a heavy snow event Thursday night until Saturday morning.

The Euro is just starting to see the potential for this storm.

Here are the Euro’s totals for Thursday-Saturday. This is the most recent run from this morning and it is showing double what it was on last night’s run.

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Of the three other models I mentioned earlier (Icon, Canadian and GFS) the GFS shows the lowest totals. Here it is.

GFS48

I am not going to show the other two because they are likely overdone, in fact, the Canadian shows 2 to 5 FEET in some areas. That would great, however, The Canadian has a long history of overdoing snow totals. Next Update Monday.

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