Dozens of model runs showed light snow overnight with a band of heavier snow developing and heading east leaving those “bullseyes” over Wolf Creek as it departed. Everything was going according to plan with the light snow but then the heavy band of snow set up over Wolf Creek with deep southerly flow, it missed most of us to the east.
That is the problem with smaller storms if they don’t come right over you you can get missed. I will be anxious to see how deep it gets at Wolf Creek today, a couple of hours ago they were already at 14 inches and it is still dumping.
On to the next storm, Thursday & Friday it looks like we will have a favorable setup, slightly warmer and a lot more moisture, similar to what we were getting in December. The Euro has jumped into the deep end of the pool, while the GFS and Canadian have shown some restraint since yesterday’s model runs.
Speaking of the Euro here is its latest operational run.
Here is the German model
Here is the GFS
And last the Canadian model
So over a 24 hour period, the Euro has swapped places with the Canadian model as the outlier.
We still have a couple of days, but I like the trend and to the extent that it is ever possible, this storm appears that it will be more forecastable than the difficult storm cycle of NW Flow storms we have had so far in January.