New Advisories And My New Totals

Nearly all of the model runs today have increased amounts overall for low and mid-elevations. I am going to bump up a few totals because of this. Wolf Creek unchanged (10-18″). Purgatory unchanged (4-8″). Mayday 6-12″ Pagosa 5-10″. Telluride and Mid-Elevations 4-8″. Durango, Bayfield, Mancos and Ignacio 2-4″. I was on the fence on Telluride but they are now under an advisory so I thought I better bump them up, the models aren’t showing it, but Telluride has a history of making something out of seemingly nothing.

Here are the new and updated highlights.

SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF PAGOSA SPRINGS
258 PM MST THU JAN 16 2020

..WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MST FRIDAY

* WHAT…SNOW EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THE FOOTHILL AREAS.

* WHERE…SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN.

* WHEN…UNTIL NOON MST FRIDAY

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF COLUMBINE, HAHNS PEAK, TOPONAS, ASPEN,
VAIL, SNOWMASS, CRESTED BUTTE, TAYLOR PARK, MARBLE, BUFORD,
TRAPPERS LAKE, TELLURIDE, OURAY, AND LAKE CITY
258 PM MST THU JAN 16 2020

…WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 5 PM MST
FRIDAY…

* WHAT…SNOW EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 50 MPH.

* WHERE…PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST, SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL
COLORADO.

* WHEN…FROM 6 AM TO 5 PM MST FRIDAY.


* IMPACTS…TRAVEL WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT. BLOWING SNOW WILL
SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE VISIBILITY, ESPECIALLY ON RIDGE TOPS AND
OVER MOUNTAIN PASSES.

As you read, I am a bit more optimistic about Pagosa then the NWS is. The moisture is still lingering to our south, if for some reason it defies the models and doesn’t make it up here, all bets are off on these totals.

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