A cold weak storm with origins from the Pacific Northwest is not going to drop far enough south to change the dynamics into a favorable storm path for our area.
Snow should start around 10-11 am from the La Platas over to Electra to the north as well as Wolf Creek to the east and Telluride to the northwest. The snow should then start moving into mid-elevations to the west around after 12 pm, then all other locations before 3 pm.
I don’t believe any particular model has nailed this storm, so I have to blend the model amounts and use a bit of experience to come up with snow totals.
I think Wolf Creek will win this contest but it is not going to be overly impressive anywhere. Here is what I am thinking for snow totals through Tuesday
Wolf Creek 4-8″, Telluride 3-6″, Purgatory 2-5″, between 7,400-8,400′ 2-4″, 6,800-7,400′ 1-3″ Durango, Bayfield, Mancos 1-2″, Ignacio, Cortez and areas below 6,500′ a dusting to an inch.
We have a couple of more chances of light snow over the next week, I am hoping for a pattern change by mid-month (which means I am seeing it on some models but not on other models), in the meantime, the storm track will be predominantly from the northwest which keeps areas like Alta, Utah and Jackson Hole “in the flow” as they refer to it. With this storm, Alta will surpass Purgatory’s total for the entire season last year Jackson Hole will do the same over the next two weeks.
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