Next Week First Look

Most weather professionals would tell you you can’t read too much into what models say when it is 6-7 days away. That is true if you are trying to determine exactly how much snow one area is going to end up with (that is difficult enough 12 hours out). But if you compare the models head to head and you have some decent agreement early on it is a very good sign. So take the predictions from the models lightly but be encouraged that they all are sniffing something out.

At this point, it is better to look at the snowfall over the entire next week (Monday-Friday) because at this point it is too early to tell if we will get one or two decent storms or three smaller storms. I am not ending the totals on Friday because I think everything stops on Friday, I am ending on Friday because two of the three operational models only forecast up to 240 hours. As we get closer, the timeframe will expand to later days so if the forecasted pattern continues I will talk about it later.

Here is the Canadian for Monday through Friday

CMC2412z

The Euro same time frame

euro2412z

And the GFS

gfs2412z

This is not the first time these amounts have been popping up, as I said earlier today.

On and off snow showers will be common in the higher elevations today, Thursday and Friday we may see some light accumulations above  8,700′. The weather will warm back up going into the weekend but before then we may some below zero temps tomorrow morning. My next update will be Thursday, hopefully the models will still be consistent with this pattern change for next week.!

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