Precipitation is slowly crossing Utah and Arizona and is beginning to make its way into our area.
The new high-resolution NAM model still shows CAPE peaking around 6 pm, and it shows the values have increased since the morning model run.
The same model’s afternoon run increased precipitation overall for the area.
It is picking up some higher totals but, as I have said in the past, you can’t trust exactly where those heavier bands will show up.
My only concern is that if the precipitation does not widely break out before dark, the convective element will likely be diminished. The models still show the heaviest precipitation will fall before 9 pm.
Ready, set, go! Thanks for following and supporting the site. Next Update Tuesday, time to start looking into the details of the next storm late this week.
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