Showers Will Continue

The secondary push of moisture made it into the area as scheduled. Showers will continue throughout the day and should pick up in intensity again late this afternoon and this evening.

The models all agree the showers will continue, but they disagree on where the heaviest rain will fall. The high-resolution short term model has the heaviest rain falling in La Plata County, while the other operational models are trending further east with the heaviest rain falling in Archuleta County. NWS is favoring that solution. The German model is showing the heaviest rain accumulating near Navajo Lake.

Here are the various solutions from the latest model runs. These amounts are the total rain accumulation between now and 6 am Sunday.

NAM short term high resolution–definitely the outlier

nam

Euro

euro

GFS

gfs

Canadian

canadian

German

german

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