A Brief Warm Up–Then More Storms

The ridge of high pressure that dominated our weather earlier this fall is going to make a comeback. Temps will warm back up into the 50s and 60s for the mid and lower elevations with 40s and 50s in most mountain locations. Overnight temperatures will hover around to just below freezing.

The models are trying to come to a better agreement on what happens later this week and the weekend. On Tuesday a system will slam into the west coast and start to move east by Thursday. Depending on how quickly pieces of the system break off from the main trough and arrive in our region, light precipitation could break out over our area. A stronger wave may arrive for the weekend.

The GFS is the most bullish with these systems and it is showing the highest precipitation totals. The Euro is starting to come around but is showing most of the precipitation falling Friday and Saturday. The Canadian model is advertising a very low impact high altitude precipitation event. All of the models show the system exiting the state by Monday.

Next week the Euro is showing a more impactful system going into Thanksgiving. The GFS does not show this at all. Although it is likely there are going to be fewer folks traveling this season, I know there will be a few. I will be focusing on travel across the state between now and then. Contact me if you have early travel plans (leaving this weekend). I will make a list of where people are headed and I will tailor my posts towards those areas.

Since we’re a week or longer away from that potential second system affecting the area, I am going to focus on the weekend for the next few days.

GFS

Canadian

Euro

It is a little early to look at snow levels but with Purgatory opening on the 21st I know many of you are wondering what to expect. At the moment it looks like snow levels will start pretty high on Friday around 9,500 feet and drop to around 8,000 by Saturday morning.

Next Update Tuesday afternoon. Thanks for following and supporting the site!

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