Things Are Coming Together For An Extended Snow Event

Published Wednesday 2/10/21 at 12:25 pm

Occasional snow showers that are still falling in the higher elevations should wrap up by this evening with very little additional accumulation. Thursday will be a transitional day before three systems move in. The models are in agreement on timing, but differ on how much snow will fall during each event over the 4 to 5 day period.

Friday the first system moves in during the morning and should wrap up by Saturday morning. Saturday evening/night another system will move in and snow should continue throughout the day on Sunday before wrapping up late Sunday night. The third system should come in Monday night and wrap up later on Tuesday. At the moment, the period of heaviest snow should occur late Saturday through late Sunday. The Friday system and Monday night system don’t (yet) look like they are going to be that big of a deal.

It is only Wednesday, so we still have time for some changes that may affect the timing of these systems. The models are in decent agreement right now (again), but any one of these systems could slow down before it arrives. The Euro is usually the first to sniff out storms stalling before they arrive.

For today, I am still going to go with the “right for the wrong reason” approach and show the multi-day totals. Tomorrow, I will try to be more specific with the Friday timing and first system total. Again, Friday does not look like that big of a deal, so don’t be too disappointed tomorrow when you see that. I will also post the Saturday night through Wednesday morning additional totals. I will do the same thing on Saturday.

Here are the multi-day event totals. First are the liquid precipitation event totals. The snow totals will follow.




GFS snow

Canadian snow

Euro snow

My confidence with these systems is growing with each model run. Run to run consistency and consistency among models are the most important factors I look at for storms or multi-storm events. I am very pleased, so far, with what I am seeing.

Next Update Friday early afternoon. Thanks for following and supporting the site!

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