Light Snow For Some

Published 2/24/21 Wednesday at 12:40 pm

I have not gone anywhere, nor have I been ill. There just has not been a lot of things to talk about. Nothing has changed too much in the last four days, the models are still out of sync beyond a couple of days out.

Overnight, a weak storm system will make its way towards the forecast area. As it moves east Thursday it will tap into a little more moisture and Wolf Creek may benefit from this. The medium and low-resolution models are struggling with this, but the high-resolution NAM 3km model has shown this additional moisture for Wolf Creek in its last 3 model runs.  A similar thing happened Saturday, most models were discounting the totals for Telluride and Ouray, but the high-resolution model picked up on it.

So based on what I am seeing from that model this morning, 2 to 4 inches of snow could fall by late Thursday for Telluride and Ouray, with a dusting to 2 inches for Silverton, Purgatory, and Rico.  If this model is correct, 5 to 9 inches could accumulate at Wolf Creek with most of it falling during the day on Thursday.

Here is that high-resolution model run I am using for this forecast.

A few other areas may get a dusting, especially above 7,400 feet. There are several other opportunities for light snow over the next week. The models are all handling things differently but the next best chance for light snow will be Saturday night.

I plan to post over the next few days. I am not sure when exactly, but I think the models will come into better agreement over the next couple of days regarding the weekend. That will give me something to discuss. I look forward to snow reports from the areas that get snow. Thanks for following and supporting the site!

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