Model Agreement Regarding Thursday’s Storm!

Published Sunday at 7:15 am

In the last 24 hours, the weather models have finally shown strong similarities in the track of a storm that should make it into our area on Thursday. The Canadian and Euro were on board early, the GFS capitulated finally in its last few runs over the last 18 hours.

This storm is a classic closed circulation low-pressure system, it is much different than what we have seen in the last 10 days. The models show it coming onshore Wednesday night over Southern California then moving east-northeast leaving snow over Northern Arizona and Southern Utah before (hopefully) making its way into our forecast area on Thursday. This is a warm core system so some low elevation areas will see some rain and maybe a mix before the snow. Any and all precipitation type will be great to have.

Here is the early look at liquid precipitation totals for this storm





Model consensus is one of the most important things forecasters look for when they determine their confidence level in a storm. This is the best thing I have seen in 10 days. I got an email from a follower last night saying she had just washed her car. If you are new, some of the more hardcore weather followers believe that such sacrificial rituals help bring on storms. I know my vehicle needs a wash, so what the heck…

Next Update Monday, thanks for following and supporting the site!

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