Tuesday 7/6 8:45 am
There were some nice storms yesterday which delivered some decent quick heavy rains to many areas. Most of the action happened east of Hesperus. A couple of stronger cells dumped an inch or more across the north valley. Most areas that got in on the action received 1/8″ to 1/2″.
Yesterday the models showed a significant decrease in thunderstorms for today. Overnight, the models continued that trend. This morning, high-resolution models are showing scattered showers developing this afternoon throughout the forecast area.
Based on some of the rain totals from yesterday, it would stand to reason that there is plenty of residual moisture that can be recycled into thunderstorms today. CAPE values are going to be significantly lower today. Yesterday we had instability from a shortwave trough rotating around the high pressure. That should not be the case today.
Based on what I am seeing, I would expect a downtick in coverage of the storms for today. However, I would be very surprised if we did not see storms fire up over the areas that received the higher totals yesterday. Of course, as is usually the case this time of year, higher terrain areas should expect storms nearly every afternoon.
Thanks for the reports yesterday and this morning, and thanks for following and supporting the site!