7/29 Thursday 9:30 am
So far so good. Monday and Tuesday, a number of areas that had yet received a lot of rain this month got caught up. On Wednesday the showers and storms, for the most part, favored the higher terrain.
Conditions will continue to be favorable for the development of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms through Tuesday according to the models. After Tuesday there is poor agreement.
There is also poor agreement among the models on who gets what and when. So much so, that rather than use the individual global models today I am going to share with you a couple of blended multi-model solutions. The best thing about these multi-models is that I access them through a different service and they have excellent resolution. These are the only products that I can get this good of resolution, unfortunately.
Here is the 72-hour precipitation guidance (through Sunday morning)
Here is the 7-day precipitation guidance (ending Wednesday morning)
As has been the case all week (really most of the season) it is difficult to tell on a day-by-day basis where the storms are going to set up let alone where they are going to go after they form. For today, all of the ingredients are going to be in place, especially between 3 pm and 9 pm, for storms to fire throughout the forecast area.
Here are the CAPE values for today beginning at 10 am and running through Friday at 6 am.
Thanks for the numerous reports the last few days. Thanks for following and supporting the site!