Saturday 10/23 1 pm
The models did a good job yesterday picking up on the moisture overhead which has brought us a slightly cooler cloudy day. Tonight showers and snow showers will break around midnight. 2 to 4 inches of snow will fall above 9,000 feet. The main area of snow will fall in the Telluride-Red Mountain-Silverton triangle. An inch or so of snow may fall at Purgatory and Wolf Creek.
On Sunday, showers will come to an end fairly early. Monday will be sunny as a ridge temporarily moves over the area. Monday will be the warmest day of the week. It may be windy as the storm compresses the pressure gradient and starts to move the ridge. I will talk more about the winds tomorrow as it is a tricky forecast 48 hours out.
The large system is being slowed slightly by the models. It should start moving into the area around sunrise unless it slows again. Model precipitation forecasts still look good, especially compared to where they started several days ago. It looks like the system could be colder than they originally thought, so I am going to hold off on snow totals until Monday afternoon. Here are the latest liquid precipitation forecasts.
Euro
Canadian
German
GFS
My next update will be Sunday morning, thanks for following and supporting the site!