7/10/22 Sunday 4:45 am

In my last post, I mentioned that showers could return to the forecast area as early as Sunday or Monday afternoon. This does look to be the case, the models continue to show things falling back into place to slowly open back up the monsoon tap from the southwest.

For today and tomorrow, isolated to scattered storms will favor the higher elevations by midday and then move off the mountains to mid and lower elevation areas throughout the afternoon. Storm motion will be slow and erratic, so it is impossible to predict where the storms will set up and end up. Precipitable water values (PWAT) will climb to 140% to 160% of the climatological average (climo) for this date.

Showers will become more widespread on Tuesday and Wednesday as deeper moisture works into the forecast area. PWATs will jump to 200+% of climo. This pattern looks like it will continue for the foreseeable future.

My next update will be on Tuesday.Thanks for following and supporting the site!