Flood Watch

7/27/22 Wednesday 6:30 am

The NWS radar is down again. This time through Tuesday, August 2nd. I think mainly because of that they have issued a Flood Watch for the forecast area. Because they can’t adequately track storms, they issued a Flood Watch. The weather models do not support this. However, the models do not do a great job at pinpointing mesoscale storm development. So while this may be a CYA issuance, all the conditions are ripe for potentially heavy rain somewhere in the forecast area.

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
211 AM MDT Wed Jul 27 2022

Northwest San Juan Mountains-Southwest San Juan Mountains-Paradox
Valley/Lower Dolores River-Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas
River Basin-San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-La Sal and Abajo
Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
Including the cities of Telluride, Ouray, Lake City, Silverton,
Rico, Hesperus, Gateway, Nucla, Cortez, Dove Creek, Mancos, Durango,
Bayfield, Ignacio, Pagosa Springs, Blanding, Bluff, Mexican Hat,
Monticello, Canyonlands National Park, Dead Horse Point State Park,
and Fry Canyon
211 AM MDT Wed Jul 27 2022


* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible,
  especially on fire burn scars and areas with already saturated
  ground in the San Juan Mountains west through southeastern Utah.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest Colorado and southeast Utah,
  including the following areas, in southwest Colorado, Animas River
  Basin, Four Corners/Upper Dolores River, Northwest San Juan
  Mountains, Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River, San Juan River
  Basin and Southwest San Juan Mountains. In southeast Utah,
  Canyonlands/Natural Bridges, La Sal and Abajo Mountains and
  Southeast Utah.

* WHEN...From Noon MDT today through midnight MDT tonight.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. In
  addition, heavy rainfall over the Pack Creek Fire, Ice Fire, 416
  Fire and East Canyon Fire burn areas, among other smaller, more
  recent burn areas in the watch area. Residents and travelers near
  any of these burn areas should prepare for potential flood
  impacts. Be sure to stay up to date with information from local
  authorities.  Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas.
  Low-water crossings may be flooded.

  - Heavy rain has fallen in these area over the past few days
    and deep monsoonal moisture is forecast to move to these
    areas today with showers and thunderstorms likely.

I will do a model update early this afternoon. Thanks for following and supporting the site!

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