7/27/22 Wednesday 6:30 am
The NWS radar is down again. This time through Tuesday, August 2nd. I think mainly because of that they have issued a Flood Watch for the forecast area. Because they can’t adequately track storms, they issued a Flood Watch. The weather models do not support this. However, the models do not do a great job at pinpointing mesoscale storm development. So while this may be a CYA issuance, all the conditions are ripe for potentially heavy rain somewhere in the forecast area.
Flood Watch National Weather Service Grand Junction CO 211 AM MDT Wed Jul 27 2022 COZ018>023-UTZ022-028-029-280600- /O.NEW.KGJT.FA.A.0003.220727T1800Z-220728T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Northwest San Juan Mountains-Southwest San Juan Mountains-Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges- Including the cities of Telluride, Ouray, Lake City, Silverton, Rico, Hesperus, Gateway, Nucla, Cortez, Dove Creek, Mancos, Durango, Bayfield, Ignacio, Pagosa Springs, Blanding, Bluff, Mexican Hat, Monticello, Canyonlands National Park, Dead Horse Point State Park, and Fry Canyon 211 AM MDT Wed Jul 27 2022 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT... * WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible, especially on fire burn scars and areas with already saturated ground in the San Juan Mountains west through southeastern Utah. * WHERE...Portions of southwest Colorado and southeast Utah, including the following areas, in southwest Colorado, Animas River Basin, Four Corners/Upper Dolores River, Northwest San Juan Mountains, Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River, San Juan River Basin and Southwest San Juan Mountains. In southeast Utah, Canyonlands/Natural Bridges, La Sal and Abajo Mountains and Southeast Utah. * WHEN...From Noon MDT today through midnight MDT tonight. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. In addition, heavy rainfall over the Pack Creek Fire, Ice Fire, 416 Fire and East Canyon Fire burn areas, among other smaller, more recent burn areas in the watch area. Residents and travelers near any of these burn areas should prepare for potential flood impacts. Be sure to stay up to date with information from local authorities. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be flooded. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Heavy rain has fallen in these area over the past few days and deep monsoonal moisture is forecast to move to these areas today with showers and thunderstorms likely.
I will do a model update early this afternoon. Thanks for following and supporting the site!
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