Tuesday Afternoon Storm Update And Extended Outlook

9/20/22 Tuesday 1:45 pm

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1047 AM MDT Tue Sep 20 2022

COZ006-009-011-017>023-UTZ022-027>029-211200-
/O.CON.KGJT.FA.A.0007.220920T1800Z-220923T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Grand Valley-Grand and Battlement Mesas-Central Gunnison and
Uncompahgre River Basin-Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-
Northwest San Juan Mountains-Southwest San Juan Mountains-Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-Arches/Grand Flat-La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges- Including the cities of Grand Junction, Fruita, Palisade, Skyway, Montrose, Hotchkiss, Delta, Ridgway, Glade Park, Telluride, Ouray, Lake City, Silverton, Rico, Hesperus, Gateway, Nucla, Cortez, Dove Creek, Mancos, Durango, Bayfield, Ignacio, Pagosa Springs, Blanding, Bluff, Mexican Hat, Moab, Castle Valley, Thompson Springs,
Monticello, Canyonlands National Park, Dead Horse Point State Park,
and Fry Canyon
1047 AM MDT Tue Sep 20 2022

…FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING…

* WHAT…Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be
possible.

* WHERE…Portions of Colorado and Utah, including the following
areas, in Colorado, Animas River Basin, Central Gunnison and
Uncompahgre River Basin, Four Corners/Upper Dolores River, Grand
Valley, Grand and Battlement Mesas, Northwest San Juan Mountains,
Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River, San Juan River Basin,
Southwest San Juan Mountains and Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas
Divide. In Utah, Arches/Grand Flat, Canyonlands/Natural Bridges,
La Sal and Abajo Mountains and Southeast Utah.

* WHEN…Through Thursday evening.

* IMPACTS…Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Good call from the NWS. It is a no-brainer after the successive model runs and consistency among the models.

Little to no change since the morning update. Here it is in case you missed it. Here We Go

Extended Forecast

Things are going to dry out over the weekend but I do not believe this will be the last raindrops that fall in September.

This storm is going to have quite an effect on our anomalies for the next 4 to 6 weeks.

Here are the forecasted positive precipitation anomalies through October 20th.

Here they are through November 3rd

Here is the total snowfall (before melting) through October 20th

Here is the total through November 3rd

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