10/10/22 Monday 12:15 pm

More of the same today, with isolated showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. On Tuesday, there will be a slight chance of afternoon showers. After Tuesday, we will begin an extended period of dry weather. This could last 5 to 7 days or maybe even longer, the models agree on that. They also agree that the second half of the month will be a more active period of rain and snow (depending on the elevation). It also appears we may see our first true winter storm for the mountains and some of the mid-elevation areas before the end of October. More on that tomorrow in my extended outlook

As I mentioned yesterday, overnight lows are going to drop a little lower over the next couple of nights. Wednesday and Thursday morning lows should approach the low to mid-30s in the lower elevations with upper 20s to low 30s in the mid-elevations.

When it comes to temperature forecasts I have found the European model to be the most accurate.

Here is the overnight low forecast for Tuesday morning from the last two runs of the European model

Overnight run

Latest run

Very consistent run to run. If freezing temps will affect your outdoor livelihood negatively take precautions.

My next update will be on Tuesday. Thanks for following and supporting the site!