Tuesday Update–Extended Outlook

10/11/22 Tuesday 7 am
Temperatures are approaching the overnight minimum readings. There are a lot of low-30s to mid-30s across the forecast area. The lowest I see is 29 in Vallecito and 23 in Silverton. I do not expect overnight lows to moderate anytime in the foreseeable future.
Showers will be very isolated today, favoring the highest terrain. The models have not yet come to an agreement on exactly how long the dry weather will last but they do show a flip to wetter unsettled conditions for the last 7 to 12 days of the month.
The Euro extended outlook agrees and is showing slightly cooler than average temperatures through November 24th. It shows average precipitation through November 11th and well above average precipitation from November 11th through November 24th!
Here are the temperature anomalies between now and November 24th
Here are the precipitation anomalies through November 24th
Here is the total snowfall before melting through November 24th
Here are “the city charts”. This table shows every ensemble member of the European family and what it is predicting for snow. The date progresses from left to right up to November 24th. The colors correspond to the total amount of snow forecasted over the period. An average of all of the members (mean) is calculated which is what you see in the above chart. The raw data is in the city charts below. The forecasts are all for the airports of these cities
Cortez (CEZ)
Durango (DRO)
Pagosa (Stevens Field)
Telluride (TEX)
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