Tuesday Afternoon Update–Snow Forecasts

12/6/22 Tuesday 3:30 pm

Winter Weather Advisories are active across all of the SW Colorado Mountains. Avalanche Warnings are also in place across all of the SW Colorado Mountains. For the 550 passes and Lizard Head, avalanche conditions will be moderate (level 2) on Wednesday. Avalanche conditions around Wolf Creek will be high on Wednesday (level 4 out of 5)

Not a lot of surprises with the additional model runs. If anything there was a slight downturn in the lower elevation totals. Don’t get too concerned, if you are relatively new to the area, November and early December snow accumulations are never very high in the lower elevations, they are more uncommon than common. It is more common for the lower elevation locations to start seeing more productive storms right before or shortly after Christmas.

Snow will be on the increase in the mountains tonight but will pick up towards sunrise. In the mid-elevations don’t be too surprised if nothing happens overnight, snow should pick up throughout the day. In the lower elevations, it may not even snow until Wednesday night. We’ll see

The big winner will once again be Wolf Creek with this storm. Here is my forecast for the storm totals ending Thursday. BTW–If you want to send me snow reports that would be great, but I will be more interested in the two-day totals that come in on Thursday.

These totals in the mountains are fairly conservative and do not reflect what could happen if banding occurs. Banding is simply what happens in a dynamic storm environment, heavy snow bands develop that get hung up over an area for an extended period of time. I do expect some upside surprises with this storm.

Wolf Creek and Coal Bank:  12 to 16 inches

Purgatory, Molas, and Red Mountain: 10 to 14 inches

Mayday, Rico, Silverton, and Telluride:  6 to 10 inches

North Vallecito, Lemon area, Tween Lakes, Top of Durango Hills, Top of Forest Lakes, Glacier Club: 3 to 6 inches

All other mid-elevation areas:  2 to 5 inches

Low elevation areas:  Up to 2 inches

I will post at some point on Wednesday, I am not sure when. Thanks for following and supporting the site!

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