12/27/22 Tuesday 2 pm
We are about to experience the wettest 7-10 day period since the monsoon season! We will finish December with above-average monthly precipitation. 3 to 5 feet of snow will possible in the mountains between tonight and January 4th. Then another big storm will be possible arriving late Thursday or Friday (1/5 or 1/6).
Snow will start this evening in the mountains and a rain-snow mix may fall in the lower elevations before turning to snow very early Wednesday morning. Commuting could be a mess tomorrow so plan accordingly. There is a slight chance that the storm could be delayed in the lower and mid-elevations. This would not be ideal, but it is a possibility. This is a much more favorable storm track than we have seen in a while, so hopefully, that won’t happen.
Here is my snowfall forecast for the first storm ending Thursday morning.
Wolf Creek: 16 to 25 inches
550 Passes: 14 to 18 inches
Purgatory, Telluride, Mayday: 12 to 16 inches
Silverton: 10 to 14 inches
Vallecito, Lemon area, Upper Forest Lakes, Upper Durango Hills, Tween Lakes area, Hesperus Hill, Glacier, Durango Ridge Ranch: 10 to 14 inches
Durango West I and II, Lake Durango, Rafter J, Ouray, Edgemont, Forest Lakes, Upper Shenandoah: 8 to 12 inches
Pagosa, Deer Valley Estates, Pine River Ranches Lower Shenandoah, Trappers Crossing, Long Hollow Ranch: 6 to 10 inches
Downtown Durango area, Mancos, Bayfield: 4 to 8 inches I realize this is lower than what was outlined in the Winter Storm Warning, but the median runs from the high-resolution models are showing just under 6 inches.
All other locations below 6,500: 0 to 3 inches
Unless I see something interesting in the NWS forecast discussion this afternoon, my next update will be Wednesday morning. Thanks for following and supporting the site!
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