12/30/22 Friday 4:15 pm
There are some discrepancies among the models regarding the main AR event, it will be delayed and now should begin on Sunday. Meanwhile, we will have a localized snow event develop tonight into tomorrow that is completely separate from the main storm. This leads me to an odd forecast for tonight through Saturday afternoon, ultimately, I hope it will work out in our favor because of the “cooler effect” (snow on the ground) that I talked about in my morning update. I am going to let the models get better organized before delving into my forecasts for the AR event. I will cover those tomorrow afternoon.
For tonight expect snow to develop across the forecast area. I expect 1 to 3 inches at or below 6,500 feet. 3 to 6 inches of snow across the mid-elevations, as well as Silverton and Wolf Creek (I told you it was an odd forecast). 4 to 8 inches of snow should fall at Telluride, Rico, Mayday, Purgatory, and the 550 passes. This is just through Saturday afternoon, let’s call it 4 pm. I originally wrote this at 1 pm, some of the afternoon models have trended higher with the amounts. We’ll see.
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