1/14/22 Saturday 2 pm

I hope everyone has been taking this upcoming storm cycle seriously. There will be very little time between the two systems to get the driveways, roads, highways, and passes cleaned up. Plan on travel delays, school closures, and pass closures. My other concern is power outages. If you live in vulnerable areas make sure you dig out flashlights, batteries etc.

There have been some changes to the Winter highlights for the first system. The amounts have increased in the Winter Storm Warnings.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO  
124 PM MST SAT JAN 14 2023  
  
COZ022-023-151200-  
/O.CON.KGJT.WS.W.0001.230115T0600Z-230116T0000Z/  
ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DURANGO, BAYFIELD, IGNACIO,   
AND PAGOSA SPRINGS  
124 PM MST SAT JAN 14 2023  
  
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING  
TO 5 PM MST SUNDAY...  
  
* WHAT...HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO   
  12 INCHES. WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 35 MPH.  
  
* WHERE...ANIMAS RIVER BASIN AND SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN.  
  
* WHEN...FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM MST SUNDAY.  
  
* IMPACTS...PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

  
COZ019-151200-  
/O.CON.KGJT.WS.W.0001.230115T0000Z-230116T0600Z/  
SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SILVERTON, RICO, AND HESPERUS 
124 PM MST SAT JAN 14 2023  
  
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS  
AFTERNOON TO 11 PM MST SUNDAY...  
  
* WHAT...HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 16  
  INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. WINDS GUSTING AS  
  HIGH AS 40 MPH.  
  
* WHERE...SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS.  
  
* WHEN...FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM MST SUNDAY.  
  
* IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE VERY DIFFICULT. PATCHY BLOWING SNOW   
  COULD SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE VISIBILITY. A DETAILED MAP OF THE   
  SNOWFALL CAN BE FOUND AT

COZ021-151200-  
/O.CON.KGJT.WS.W.0001.230115T0600Z-230116T0000Z/  
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CORTEZ, DOVE CREEK, DOLORES, AND MANCOS  
124 PM MST SAT JAN 14 2023  
  
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING  
TO 5 PM MST SUNDAY ABOVE 6000 FEET...  
  
* WHAT...HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED ABOVE 6000 FEET. TOTAL SNOW  
  ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES. HIGHER AMOUNTS EXPECTED IN THE  
  SAN JUAN FOOTHILLS. EXPECT LESSER AMOUNTS BELOW 6000 FEET. WINDS  
  GUSTING AS HIGH AS 40 MPH.  
  
* WHERE...FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER.  
  
* WHEN...FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM MST SUNDAY.  
  
* IMPACTS...PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. PATCHY BLOWING   
  SNOW COULD SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE VISIBILITY, ESPECIALLY IN OPEN   
  AREAS. 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO  
1058 AM MST SAT JAN 14 2023  
  
COZ068-150200-  
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0001.230115T0000Z-230116T0600Z/  
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET-  
1058 AM MST SAT JAN 14 2023  
  
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS  
AFTERNOON TO 11 PM MST SUNDAY...  
  
* WHAT...HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO   
  22 INCHES, HEAVIEST NEAR THE SUMMIT OF WOLF CREEK PASS. WINDS   
  GUSTING AS HIGH AS 45 MPH.  
  
* WHERE...EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET.  
  
* WHEN...FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM MST SUNDAY.  
  
* IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE VERY DIFFICULT TO IMPOSSIBLE. AREAS   
  OF BLOWING SNOW COULD SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE VISIBILITY.  
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
  
IF YOU MUST TRAVEL, KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT, FOOD, AND WATER IN  
YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.   
  
THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN  
BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1

There were no changes to the Winter Weather Advisory

  
COZ018-151200-  
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0003.230115T0000Z-230116T0600Z/  
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TELLURIDE, OURAY, AND LAKE CITY  
124 PM MST SAT JAN 14 2023  
  
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS  
AFTERNOON TO 11 PM MST SUNDAY...  
  
* WHAT...SNOW EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8   
  INCHES. WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 40 MPH.  
  
* WHERE...NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS.  
  
* WHEN...FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM MST SUNDAY.  
  
* IMPACTS...PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. PATCHY BLOWING   
  SNOW COULD SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE VISIBILITY.

Everything looks really really good for this storm cycle. It is starting to look like the second system of the storm cycle (Monday night through Wednesday night/Thursday) will be nearly as potent as this first system which begins tonight! Tonight through Thursday the snow totals should be higher in the lower elevations than the cumulative snow totals for the entire season.

Here are my forecasts through 5 pm Monday.

Aztec:  Up to 3 inches

Cortez and Ouray, Marvel:  4 to 6 inches

Telluride, Mancos. Ignacio:  6 to 10 inches

Durango, Bayfield:  8 to 12 inches

Mid-elevation areas up to  7,500 feet: 10 to 14 inches

Mid-elevation areas up to 8,000 feet:  12 to 16 inches

Purgatory, Mayday, Rico:  14 to 18 inches

Wolf Creek:  15 to 20 inches

I will check in briefly in the morning. Thanks for following and supporting the site!

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