1/20/23 Friday 8 am

There were some model output delays this morning, but the providers seem to be catching up, finally. I am noticing some discrepancies between the high-resolution models and the medium-resolution models. This is perfectly normal, however, this time the higher-resolution models are showing slightly more snow than the lower-resolution models. That is unusual.  Either way, this seems like a pretty insignificant event after what we have been through this week.

I am going to go slightly higher with my forecast than I thought I would have earlier today. Temperatures are going to be on the colder side and will generate decent ratios between 12 and 15 to 1. Nice, easy to deal with powder.

2 to 4 inches in the lower elevations:  Cortez, Mancos, Dolores, Durango, Bayfield

3 to 5 inches in the mid-elevations, with slightly higher amounts possible above 7,800 feet.

3-7 inches for the higher elevations.

The models show the snow developing in most areas over the next couple of hours.

If someone in Cortez or Mancos could shoot me an email when it starts snowing there that would be awesome!

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