3/19/23 Sunday 3:10 pm
The latest model runs came in very robust once again. I see no reason to doubt them at this time. This week may bring the second-highest precipitation total of the season (right behind the week of January 15th).
I do expect snow at all elevations with considerable to complete melting in the lower elevations. The best chance of accumulation in the lower elevations will be Monday morning. The first wave will be a colder storm, we may see a slight lull in the lower and some of the mid-elevations on Tuesday before the second wave arrives late Tuesday/early Wednesday.
All said and done on Friday you will need a yardstick to measure snow in the higher elevations.
Here are my forecasts. These are for the event totals ending on Friday.
Telluride: 14 to 20 inches
Areas between 8,000 feet and 8,600 feet in La Plata, Montezuma, Dolores, and Archuleta Counties: 14 to 24 inches.
Silverton: 22 to 28 inches
Purgatory: 32 to 40 inches
Wolf Creek: 45 to 58 inches
Mid-elevations from 7,200-7,500 feet will likely see considerable totals, but they will also experience melting and compaction that will be difficult to measure. If you want to attempt to measure the snow this time, I recommend measuring often.
My next update will be sometime on Monday. Thanks for following and supporting the site!
Wow, Jeff! We’re battening downs the hatches!