4/8/23 Saturday 7 am
For my next controversial topic (apparently, yesterday’s topic was controversial) we will look at the latest seasonal models. This is not something I have presented in the past. These models only update once per month. Here are the forecasted precipitation anomalies for April, May, and June.
Green means above-average precipitation, white is average, and brown is below. May and June are dry months for us anyway, so I don’t expect these anomalies to have a major effect on our situation.
US model April anomaly
The number at the bottom are not total amounts they refer to the anomaly amounts.
US model May
Us Model June: Because June is normally such a dry month it would only take one major rogue storm for this forecast to verify.
Next month, I will dig a little deeper into the seasonal models. I have been asked about our upcoming monsoon season. I am not ready to give my official thoughts, but my current thinking is that we will have a later start and that it may be very robust and active this year.
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