5/13/23 Sunday 7:45 am
Rain showers and high-elevation snow showers will develop this afternoon and return on Sunday. There is a good chance more showers will be on the way Monday and Tuesday. We may get a short break before showers return throughout the week.
CAPE will be sufficient to develop thunderstorms by 1 pm today. Some storms may be strong enough to develop brief heavy rain and hail this afternoon.
Here are the forecast models for total precipitation through Monday morning. The GFS is the wettest and the Canadian sets the showers up mainly to the east.
GFS
European
NOAA NBM
Canadian
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So far, the Euro has done the best for our location (Dolores/Rustic Ridge). We have 0.51″ so far.