Wednesday Update–Weekend Outlook And A Look At The Future

5/24/23 Wednesday 6:20 am

SW flow will begin to usher in some drier air across the forecast area. However, residual moisture and saturated soils will contribute to scattered showers once again today.

On Thursday and Friday, temperatures will begin to moderate somewhat as drier air continues to pour into the region. Showers will be more isolated in nature. By this weekend, showers will be less likely. Overall, it should be a good holiday weekend for those wanting to spend some time outdoors.

Models are mixed at the moment on how long this drier pattern will persist. But it could be several days. Historically, June is our driest month of the year. What will be interesting is to see if the last half of the month ends up wetter than the first half of the month, as has happened so many times over the last year.

As we finish up on our “Maysoon” I expect this ridge to amplify and bring an early warm start to summer. I am on record as saying that I expect us to transition into another above-average Monsoon season, which could start slightly later than last year.

Last year, I was never able to commit to a long-term winter forecast. That won’t be the case this year, I am already leaning towards a repeat of the 2009-2010 winter for next year. That would bring below-average temperatures and above-average snowfall for the entire forecast area. For mid and higher elevations, that would result in slightly less snow than last year but still above average. For lower elevations (below 6,600) that would mean more snow than last year.

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One thought on “Wednesday Update–Weekend Outlook And A Look At The Future

  1. Frank Masiarz

    Love your new “Maysoon” nomenclature. Helps to define the early weather pattern’s similarity to the real monsoons with a different meteorological origin later in the year. Bottom line: it’s wet every day with the associated 10-degree temperature drops created by the winds and cold moisture. Enjoy the new water heater !

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