Monday Update: Glimpses Of Monsoonal Flow

7/24/23 Monday 8 am

Afternoon isolated showers will occur over the northern portions of the forecast area. Models are showing a bit of a change by late in the weekend as they depict the high pressure dropping far enough south so that most of the lower valleys will get some relief, we’ll see. We have seen this advertisement from the models in the past, it always seems to be a week away!

The best way to watch this is to, once again, put the maps in motion and watch the changes in the Precipitable Water Values (moisture) by late next weekend. All of the models show it, but the Canadian model gets there in a slightly different way than the Euro and GFS.

I can’t put a Durango dot on the animated maps, but here it is on a still image if you want a reference.

These maps show the changes in the PWATs (moisture) over the next 10 days. Browns are seasonally below average, white is seasonally average, and greens and blues are seasonally above average.

GFS

European

Canadian

That is all for now, hopefully, I will have more to talk about soon!

 

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