Wednesday Update–Nice Start Much More On The Way!

9/13/23 Wednesday 8:10 am

We are in the wettest pattern we have been in since June. Southern and Central portions of the forecast area (basically south of Purgatory) received impressive rain totals and numerous thunderstorms.  With the exception of a few areas that received (only) 0.50 or so inches, most areas received 0.75 inches or higher. A couple of areas received 1.85 inches yesterday. Many areas from Durango to Hesperus along 160 received 1.00 inches or more.

Rain and some heavy showers will return throughout the forecast area this afternoon. Northern portions of the forecast area have a better chance of seeing more significant rainfall than yesterday.  On Thursday we have another disturbance moving through. With all of this moisture in place, it could be quite an afternoon and evening. Snow may fall down to pass level on Thursday night into Friday morning! If you have to travel on Friday morning, you may have slushy conditions first thing in the morning. I will follow up on this Thursday afternoon. I am going to skip the model runs this morning because they performed very poorly in forecasting the rain totals. Some areas received  300% more rain in a few hours than the models predicted for 4 days.

For those following Hurricane Lee, I expect Hurricane Conditions of at least a Cat 1 for Cape Cod, Marthas Vineyard, and Nantucket. Tropical Storm conditions will be possible as far south as South Hampton and north from the Massachusetts Coast up through the Gulf of Maine. This could change with a turn west, which these northeast Hurricanes love to do.

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