Thursday Update

11/16/23 Thursday 8:15 am

Light rain showers are starting to break out from west to east, the western portions of the forecast area being favored. In my neighborhood, at 7:15 it is more of a mist, but the pavement is starting to get wet.

Light snow is developing in northern portions of the forecast area after a few flurries fell overnight. This will continue and may become more widespread before shutting down this afternoon. As I said yesterday, expectations are low, anything you get out there will be a bonus.

Yesterday I said I would talk more about the weekend. Not much has changed in our neck of the woods. I still think it is slightly more promising than today, but still nothing to hang a hat on. My instincts tell me this setup will deliver a decent storm to the Northern San Juans, especially the Northern Triangle (Ouray, Telluride, Red Mountain). It all will come down to how far south the cold front drops through Utah before it moves east. The further south the low and associated front drop into Utah, the better the chance for heavier precipitation further south across the forecast area.

Friday and early Saturday should be pretty uneventful, with changes starting Saturday afternoon/evening or early Sunday.

Map time!

Here are the maps in motion starting Saturday at 5 am ending Tuesday at 5 am. Notice the heavier snow coming in late Sunday/ Monday across the northern forecast area.




I am not going to address holiday travel yet. However, at this time, I don’t see anything that leads me to believe that travel will be impacted in our area during next week.

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