11/21/23 Tuesday 7:30 am
One could argue the models are becoming more aligned for the Friday/Saturday storm. These maps begin on Thursday evening and end on Sunday early morning.
European
Canadian
GFS
The Canadian has taken the lead and is the most aggressive with snow totals. The GFS is finally acknowledging the storm, which is a positive development. I like the look of the European, but it seemed to struggle just a little with precipitation disbursement overnight.
As I mentioned yesterday, the totals will change from run to run. At the moment I am expecting 4 to 8 inches for Telluride, 8-12 inches for Silverton, 12+ inches for Purgatory, and 12-18 inches for Wolf Creek, Coal Bank, and Molas. 4-10 inches in the mid-elevations above 7,000 feet, with 3-5 inches across the lower elevations.
Expect changes to those amounts, but I know people are wondering about the storm’s potential, that is where I am at right now.
My next post will be on Wednesday. I will start “two-a-days” on Thursday.
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