8/2/23 Wednesday 8:15 am
For the most part, the rains have been minimal the last few days across the forecast area. Northern portions of the forecast area finally got some accumulation the other night. Areas around Ignacio in SE La Plata County received the heaviest rainfall this cycle. Areas north of Bayfield had a couple of good nights as well. This afternoon and evening will be the last best chance at wetting rains until late next week.
In my last update, I said it looked like things would dry out starting on Thursday and I was not sure how long the drying would last. That still is the case. It looks like Friday through next Thursday will be dry before moisture starts to work its way into the area after the 10th.
Not what I had hoped for the summer this year. El Nino developed earlier and stronger than I had expected this year. I still think we have a good chance of a recurring tropical feature that will bring enhanced precipitation before the end of October.
The extended European model is already sniffing around for snow in the northern Rockies by mid-September.
This shows the first snow sneaking into the northern and central mountains by September 25th. Time to start thinking about winter–STAY TUNED!
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