12/8/23 Friday 7:20 am
Models look the same this morning as they did 24 hours ago. Despite that, the NWS has increased its totals for the NW San Juans.
COZ018-090245- /O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0038.231208T1200Z-231209T0600Z/ NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TELLURIDE, OURAY, AND LAKE CITY 332 AM MST FRI DEC 8 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...SNOW EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ON HIGHER TERRAIN. WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 30 MPH. * WHERE...GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS, GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS, WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS, FLAT TOPS AND NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS. * WHEN...FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM MST FRIDAY. * IMPACTS...PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.
10 seems a little high, but the snow is falling heavily on the mountain in Telluride (6:30 am).
It is also snowing from Ouray to Coal Bank but not at Purgatory or Wolf Creek yet.
Here was Coal Bank a little while ago.
The cold air is on its way. It will be a challenge for the lower elevations to get out of the mid-30s during the day. Single digits above will be possible by Saturday morning, many locations will flirt with 0 and below 0.
The late-week disturbance that was shown on the models yesterday is experimenting with different tracks. We will have to give it a couple of days to make up its mind. I don’t believe it indicates any type of pattern change.
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