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Sunday Morning: Update On Timing For This Week’s Storms

2/9/25 Sunday 6 am

Things are coming together for two storms. The first on Tuesday and Wednesday. The second early Friday through late Saturday or early Sunday. I would expect pass mitigation next weekend into early next week from the second storm.

The first storm will be colder. Depending on your favorite model, mountain snow totals range from 3 to 12 inches. I would not make a forecast with such a discrepancy. I can nail that down on Tuesday before the snow starts. The first storm will have minimal impacts below 7,400 feet, but snow may be possible.

This could change. I mentioned a model that shows 12 inches of snow by late Wednesday. That particular model is typically pretty reliable and high-resolution. I will watch it because it may prompt a Winter Weather Advisory for the passes early Wednesday. For now, wait to worry about the first storm.

The second storm could be a doozy for the mountains. The timing is likely early Friday through Sunday morning, assuming no leftovers. Mentally, I am preparing for an 8,000-foot snow level during most of the second event. It would deliver bountiful, much-needed moisture to the lower elevations. I would like to see all snow, but southern Pacific storm profiles are warm and moist.

Here is the latest run from the NBM model. This is a blended high-resolution model from NOAA.

This shows the total forecasted snow in inches from both events Tuesday through Sunday.

Yes, I see the low-elevation snow totals, but I can’t make that promise right now.

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