Saturday Afterrnoon

Much of what I have talked about over the last couple of days remains unchanged. I was unsure if the rain would be stratiform (gentle) or convective (thunderstorms). I am now leaning towards thunderstorms tomorrow. The Euro finally showed some orographic enhancement, as the other models did for days.

Every model increased the total precipitation in the higher elevations over a foot of snow is likely on all of the passes Wolf Creek should see a lttle more-cal it 18 iinces.However, that is before melting, even with cold temps. As I explained yesterday, The angle of the sun speeds up melting by warming up the pavement-even when its cloudy.

As soon as this storm moves out late Sunday night, leftovers will arrive on Monday, triggering pop-up showers. Not everyone will even see rain, but I can’t tell you with any confidence where those showers set up. A general rule is that the areas that had the most precip Sunday, will see more on Monday. The precipitation totals on Monday will be much lower than what we get on Sunday.