Saturday Short Morning Update

4/25/26 Saturday 5:00 am

I will go into more details after the morning model runs. I just wanted to assure, or warn (whatever the case may be), everyone that the models still look great for a constructive precipitation event.  It will not affect any plans you have for today. It will be impactful over the passes tomorrow.

Most models increased precipitation totals over the last 24 hours, the biggest increases were in the most recent model runs. That is a good sign.

The only debate at this point is whether the precipitation will be stratiform or convective. Put another way, will it be a consistent, steady rain, or will it be stormy with enhanced precipitation “upsloping” the higher elevations?