8/12/26 Wednesday
I ama little disappointed with what I see on the radar so far. Is it a miss, or a late bloomer?
Anyway, I saw a couple of winter outlooks, both from reputable sources, so I thought I would share them.
I wanted to get ahead of the questions about specific winter forecasts. Here are the only two Winter Forecasts I “endorse”. OpenSnow and WeatherBELL Analytics.
OpenSnow: As most of you know, has a very talented group of individuals and Meteorologists. They specialize in winter weather and do a great job.
WeatherBELL Analytics also does a great job. They actually explain how they come up with their forecasts. They also do a lot of weather consulting in winter-affected industries as well as the energy markets.
Fortunately, the two companies have very similar forecasts.
WeatherBELL dials it in. They are calling for 125-150% of average snowfall for our forecast area. Their temperature forecast is predicting average temperatures 3 degrees below average — that is a lot.
You might be wondering why I have not included NOAA. NOAA does not have a winter forecast per se. They have a probability model that most people interpret as an above/below forecast.
My next update will be in the morning.