6/17/24 Monday 3:20 pm
Nice progress on the models! The NOAA models are finally getting involved with some impressive totals as well. The Euro has another big total in its latest run.
These models show forecasted precipitation by these models from Thursday through Sunday. Best guess is from mid to late day Thursday through late Friday Saturday morning. I can’t guarantee the timing at this point.
The Canadian has finally shifted precipitation east, but the heaviest precip is still on the eastern slope.
Strong run from the GFS
Another “WOWZA!” from the European
Here are two high-resolution NOAA models.
NBM blended model
NOAA’s WPC model
As you can see, the models prefer a track that favors the central and southern portions of the forecast area. At the moment, this looks like a mostly non-convective evet with moderate stratiform precipitation. In other words, more consistent rain and less thunder and lightning. That could change, especially if the sun comes out during any lulls. BTW I washed my car today, hopefully, that will help!
Next update Tuesday morning.
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Jeff you are a funny guy! Your last several posts have made me smile and even laugh out loud! You make weather fun!