1/5/26 Monday 3:30 am
For today, expect flurries over the higher elevations, mainly north of Electra Lake.
Yesterday, I noted that the models diverged and moved to neutral on the late-week storm. Twenty-four hours later, it appears the GFS may be trying to compromise with the European.
This would bring higher-quality snow to the mountains instead of the slop we have been getting from SoCal leftovers. It would also bring some much-desired snow to the lower elevations. At this point, it may not be enough for an advisory, but it would be a welcome change!
Update 4:30 am
The new European run is out. It shows heavier precipitation in the lower elevations than in all recent runs. This is certainly positive; however, the closed low-pressure system responsible for the moisture component does not come ashore until Wednesday morning at the earliest. At that point, the models will be able to better determine its track.
I will try to remain neutral, but I am now very much looking forward to the model runs as they are released.
Looking further out, it looks like we may get some movement with the MJO around 1/14. Most models show it finally emerging from the circle of death around that time period.
After this system, I will be able to resume our MJO discussion!
Snowing at 7,750 feet at 32 degrees…..corner of CRs 502 and 228 !!