Thursday Afternoon: More Snow!

2/19/26 Thursday 1:30 pm

The third wave is on the way! Snow should start tonight between 8 pm and midnight.

I was pleased to see this:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1124 AM MST Thu Feb 19 2026

COZ021>023-201200-
/O.NEW.KGJT.WW.Y.0006.260220T0600Z-260221T0600Z/
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-San Juan
River Basin-
Including the cities of Cortez, Dove Creek, Mancos, Towaoc, Mesa
Verde National Park, Durango, Bayfield, Ignacio, and Pagosa Springs
1124 AM MST Thu Feb 19 2026

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11
PM MST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 3 to 6
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Animas River Basin, Four Corners/Upper Dolores River, and
  San Juan River Basin.

* WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 11 PM MST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions
  could impact the Friday morning and evening commutes.

BUT- I think it is too low.

Then there’s this:

COZ017-019-UTZ028-201200-
/O.NEW.KGJT.WW.Y.0006.260220T0600Z-260221T0600Z/
Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-Southwest San Juan
Mountains-La Sal and Abajo Mountains-
Including the cities of Ridgway, Glade Park, Colorado National
Monument, Silverton, Molas Pass, Coal Bank Pass, Rico, Hesperus,
Spanish Valley, La Sal, and Monticello
1124 AM MST Thu Feb 19 2026

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11
PM MST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 6 and 12
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph.

* WHERE...In Colorado, Southwest San Juan Mountains and Uncompahgre
  Plateau and Dallas Divide. In Utah, La Sal and Abajo Mountains
  generally above 6500 ft.

* WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 11 PM MST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The
  hazardous conditions could impact the Friday morning and evening
  commutes. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches.

 

COZ068-200200-  
/O.NEW.KPUB.WS.W.0004.260220T0600Z-260221T0600Z/  
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET-  
INCLUDING CUMBRES PASS AND WOLF CREEK PASS  
1048 AM MST THU FEB 19 2026  
  
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM   
MST FRIDAY...  
  
* WHAT...HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED. WIDESPREAD SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN   
  8 AND 12 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES.   
  WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 55 MPH.  
  
* WHERE...EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET.  
  
* WHEN...FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM MST FRIDAY.  
  
* IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE VERY DIFFICULT. WIDESPREAD BLOWING SNOW   
  COULD SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE VISIBILITY. THE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS   
  COULD IMPACT THE FRIDAY MORNING AND EVENING COMMUTES. STRONG WINDS   
  COULD CAUSE TREE DAMAGE.  
  

Here is what I expect before the storm departs tomorrow afternoon.

Marvel, Red Mesa, Ignacio, Cortez: 2 to 4 inches

Durango, Mancos, Bayfield: 4 to 8 inches

All mid-elevation subdivisions from 7,200 ft to 7,600 ft: 6 to 10 inches

All mid-elevation subdivisions above 7,700 ft: 8 to 12 inches

Note to Vallecito folks: More than one hi-res models show sporadic “bullseyes” in your area. I would not be surprised if you get 14-20.

Purgatory: 8 to 12 inches

Telluride: 3 to 6 inches

Wolf Creek: 14 to 18 inches

Lizard Head: 14 to 18 inches

Red Mountain and Silverton: 3 to 6 inches.

Gotta go

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